BundesligaAllianz Arena
Bayern Munich
Borussia DortmundBayern Munich vs Borussia Dortmund: Preview, probable line-ups and prediction
First against second, both unbeaten. The model sees a clear favourite.
Whoever wins goes clear at the top of the Bundesliga.
How they arrive
Bayern Munich
Borussia DortmundBayern arrive in full flow (6-1 in the cup on Wednesday). Dortmund have the tighter defence, 4 conceded to Bayern's 6, and keep winning by narrow margins.
Head to head
| 28 feb 2026 | Dortmund | 2-3 | Bayern | Bundesliga |
| 18 ott 2025 | Bayern | 2-1 | Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 12 apr 2025 | Bayern | 2-2 | Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 30 nov 2024 | Dortmund | 1-1 | Bayern | Bundesliga |
| 30 mar 2024 | Bayern | 0-2 | Dortmund | Bundesliga |
| 4 nov 2023 | Dortmund | 0-4 | Bayern | Bundesliga |
Bayern are unbeaten in the last four Klassiker. Dortmund's last win in the fixture was 2-0 in Munich in March 2024.
Probable line-ups
Built from each side's last five starting line-ups; it usually gets about seven of the eleven names right. The confirmed XIs reach the match page in the last hour before kick-off.
Goals, corners and cards
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7.8%), 3-0 (7.7%) and 1-1 (7.5%). Bayern score first 68% of the time.
If you are going to bet
Fair odds = 100 / probability. If your bookmaker pays more, the price beats the model.
Bet only what you can afford to lose · 18+
Level in the table, not in the model: Bayern 63%, and goals expected (over 2.5 at 73%).