1. Liga
PolandTue 3 Nov · 17:00
Pogon SiedlceWLLLW
Ruch (Pol)WWWDD
Home 30%Draw 28%Away 42%
Pick · Away
MarketProb.fair odds
Over 2.5 goals46%2.17
Both teams to score53%1.89
Double chance · 1X58%1.71
Quant pricing engine · 6 model components
Know the real odds before you bet.
BetPlanners turns 316,000+ matches and 58 million+ player-stat records into probabilities and fair odds across 80+ markets: calibrated, out-of-sample, recalculated after every match. We’re not a bookmaker: we’re the analysis desk that prices the match; you decide where to bet.
80+markets priced
6model components
316,000+matches analysed
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Featured matches
Top picks from the model for the next few days: recalculated after every match.
1. LigaPolandTue 3 Nov · 17:001. LigaPolandTue 3 Nov · 17:00
Chrobry GlogowDLLLD
Arka (Pol)WLLLL
Home 36%Draw 28%Away 36%
Pick · Away
MarketProb.fair odds
Over 2.5 goals47%2.14
Both teams to score49%2.04
Double chance · 1X64%1.56
Championship
EnglandTue 3 Nov · 19:45
CharltonLLLDL
BoltonLDWLW
Home 47%Draw 27%Away 26%
Pick · Home
MarketProb.fair odds
Over 2.5 goals50%2.01
Both teams to score55%1.81
Double chance · 1X74%1.35
The method
Built on the math, not the hype.
Six system components, measured on a real-match corpus of 300,000+ games and calibrated out-of-sample, with no post-hoc correction.
01 · Data
The corpus behind every prediction
60
Leagues · all continents
5,935
Teams · all Elo-rated
316,517
Matches analysed
58.3M
Player stat records
2.9M
Match events
02 · Model6 components · 8 layers
01
Poisson goal model
Goal distributions from historical scoring: the spine of every scoreline.
02
Elo ratings
Chess-style strength, updated after every match.
03
Recent form
Last 5-10 games weighted by recency: results, goals, momentum.
04
Home advantage
The home side gets a flat 100-point Elo adjustment, the same for every team and league.
05
Head-to-head
Persistent matchup effects between the two sides.
06
Player impact
The aggregated line-up (bookings, fouls and tackles per 90) feeds the cards markets. On the goals markets it was measured and added nothing, so it is not used.
03 · Price
Pogon SiedlceRuch (Pol)Ruch (Pol) wins
42%
Fair odds2.40
Best bookmakerPaf1.86
Value-22.5%
130%X28%242%
Recalculated after every match.
Out-of-sample validation · backtest without leakage
When we say 70%, it happens about 70% of the time.
A probability is only worth something if it’s calibrated. We measure ours the honest way (on matches the models never trained on) and plot every prediction against what actually happened.
0.003-0.013
ECE on the core markets
Average per market, 7 walk-forward folds, no after-the-fact calibration.
1-7%
Log-loss below the entropy floor
Out of sample, on almost every served market. Measurable skill, not a magic edge.
7 folds
Walk-forward 2018-2024
No leakage: never fitted on the matches it is measured against.
316,517 matches · 80+ markets · 8 model layers · ~46 models
Reliability diagram
Analysis 360
Every team, scored and ranked.
Four quality pillars (attack, defense, form and solidity), each broken down into the goals-based sub-metrics behind it, and combined into one 360 Overall. Every score is 0-100 relative to the team’s own league.
-
360 Overall
Indicators 4 quality pillars + 2 neutral readings
Attack-
Defense-
Form-
Solidity-
PredictabilityNeutral
-
Not a quality score. Lower = more volatile, harder to anticipate: not better or worse, and not part of the 360 Overall.
Efficiency vs xG-
AttackingN/A
DefendingN/A
Raw goals-to-xG ratio. High can be finishing talent or luck that regresses; low, a likely rebound. Only with advanced (xG) data.
Scores are 0-100 relative to the team’s own league: not across leagues. 360 Overall = Attack 35% · Defense 35% · Form 20% · Solidity 10%.
What makes us different.
A tipster hands you an opinion. BetPlanners hands you the numbers behind it, and the proof they hold up.
Tipster channels“Trust me.”
BetPlannersCalibrated · out-of-sample
Output
A single pick: take it or leave it
Calibrated probabilities + fair odds for every outcome
Markets
1X2, maybe over/under
80+ markets: 1X2, O/U, BTTS, correct score, handicaps, corners, cards
Method
Gut feel or one stat
6 weighted factors across ~46 models in 8 layers
Validation
Nothing you can verify
Walk-forward, 7 folds (2018-2024), no leakage
Transparency
Screenshots of the wins only
Reliability diagram + out-of-sample log-loss, open to inspect
Honesty
“Guaranteed” edges
No claim to beat the market: only measurable statistical skill
Responsible
Hype, urgency, FOMO
An analysis tool · 18+ · you decide
Price
€50-200+ a month for someone’s picks
From €14.99 a month: for the model, not tips
Plans for every type of bettor.
Every plan starts with a 7-day free trial. Cancel anytime.
Starter
€14.99
per month, VAT included
Start 7-day free trial- 50 leagues covered
- ML predictions & 80+ markets every match
- Team rankings & Elo, Compare up to 5
- Match screener with every filter
- Dashboard, favorites & up to 3 saved searches
Most popular
Professional
€29.99
per month, VAT included
Start 7-day free trial- Everything in Starter, plus
- Full Analysis 360 across all leagues
- Unlimited saved searches
- Pro rankings: Predictability & Efficiency vs xG
- Alerts: 5 types, unlimited
Frequently asked questions.
Yes! Both Starter and Professional plans include a 7-day free trial with full access to all features of your chosen plan. A card is required to start, but you won’t be charged during the trial and can cancel anytime before it ends, no questions asked. The trial is one per person and per card: if your card was already used for a trial on another account, you are charged when you subscribe.
Absolutely. Cancel with one click from your Settings page, anytime. Your access continues until the end of your current billing period. No penalties, no hassle. Your saved data (predictions, favorites, alerts) is preserved if you resubscribe.
Attack measures offensive power: expected goals, attack strength, scoring rate, and over 2.5 probability. Defense evaluates defensive solidity: goals conceded, clean sheets, and under 1.5 probability. Form tracks current momentum: recent results, points per game, and win rate. Reliability assesses data quality: confidence score, Elo rating, and sample size. Together they combine into the 360 Score.
Analysis 360 is our comprehensive team report available to Professional subscribers. It includes all five scores (Attack, Defense, Form, Reliability, 360) with detailed breakdowns, narrative analysis, market probabilities for 80+ markets, league comparison with percentiles, strengths and weaknesses, and recent match history. Teams from the 7 free leagues are also available on the Starter plan.
It is not a 0-100 score: it is a label (high, medium or low) for how far the probability itself commits. In a two-outcome market (over / under a line, both teams to score) what counts is the distance from 50%: a 20% is as decisive as an 80%, only the side changes. In a three-or-more market (1X2, correct score) what counts is the absolute probability, because there the even split already sits at 33%. It comes from the same number you see on the board, with the same thresholds on every screen. It is not a promise: past results do not guarantee future ones.
The Screener lets you filter upcoming matches by league, market type, minimum probability, reliability score, and more. For example, find all matches where Over 2.5 probability exceeds 70%. You can save up to 3 filter combinations (Starter) or unlimited (Professional).
We currently analyze teams across major European leagues including the Premier League and La Liga, with more leagues being added regularly. Our engine processes match data, team statistics, and historical records to generate predictions across 80+ betting markets.
Match predictions are recalculated after every match through our automated pipeline. Team statistics, standings, and Elo ratings are refreshed after each match day. Analysis 360 reports use the latest available data.
No. BetPlanners is an informational and analytical platform. We provide statistical predictions based on quantitative analysis of match data. All betting decisions are the sole responsibility of the user. Please gamble responsibly.
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