We turn football into honest probabilities.
BetPlanners is a quant-grade analysis tool: not a tipster. We run every fixture through a rating engine and a goal model, publish calibrated probabilities and fair odds across 80+ markets, and then get out of your way. You see exactly what we see, and you decide.
Why we built it
- Show the wins, hide the losses
- Sell “guaranteed” edges
- Manufacture urgency and FOMO
- Ask you to follow blindly
- €50-200+ a month for someone’s picks
- Full, out-of-sample track record
- Calibrated probabilities, not promises
- No hype, ever
- You decide, with the maths in front of you
- From €14.99 a month: for the model, not picks
How the model works
Rate every team
Each of 5,000+ teams carries an Elo rating that updates after every match: a far better read on real strength than the league table.
Score four quality pillars
Attack, defense, form and solidity profile how a side actually plays, not just whether it won last weekend.
Simulate the match
A Poisson goal model turns ratings and pillars into a full distribution of scorelines: every outcome, with a probability attached.
Calibrate the output
Predictions are validated walk-forward on matches the model never trained on, so a 60% call really does win about 60% of the time.
Compare the bookmakers
The same bet is not worth the same everywhere. We tell you which one pays most, and how much above the rest.
Where you get paid more, explained
By the numbers
What we stand for
Calibrated
A 60% call wins about 60% of the time, measured out-of-sample. We publish our calibration error, not just our best weeks.
Transparent
Every probability traces back to inputs you can inspect. No cherry-picked screenshots, no secret “system”.
Responsible
An analysis tool for adults. No hype, no urgency: see our Responsible gaming commitment.