Entella vs Modena prediction
Serie B·
Italy
Model reading
A very even match, with a slight edge for Modena.
LOW CONFIDENCEThe model sees a very tight match, hard to call.
Analysis based purely on the model's quantitative criteria. Not a betting recommendation.
- Modena come in with a moderate edge in overall level.MOD · +70 ELO
- Few goals are expected: Under 2.5 at 57%.UNDER 2.5 · 57%
| Outcome | Chance | Fair odds | Best odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 30% | 3.35 | - | - |
| Draw | 35% | 2.85 | - | - |
| Away | 35% | 2.85 | - | - |
| Goals | Chance | Best odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 43% | - | - |
| BTTS · YesInformational market: in our calibration audit the model does not consistently beat this selection’s historical base rate. The probability is real, but it carries no measured edge. | 53% | - | - |
- Chance
- Our probability that it happens.
- Fair odds
- The odds that match that probability: 1 / Prob.
- Best odds
- The bookmaker that pays most. Tap it to see them all.
- Value
- Prob. × Best odds − 1.
- +5.5% pays more than the fair odds
- -3.1% pays less (the usual case)
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