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Wed 4 Nov20:00 UTC
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RB Leipzig vs Manchester City: Preview, probable line-ups and prediction

Manchester City start as clear favourites for the model (55%).

BetPlanners
BetPlanners
Model team
Nov 2, 2026 · 1 min read

RB Leipzig (61st, 3 pts) host Manchester City (27th, 6 pts) in the Champions League.

Who wins, according to the model (90 minutes)
26%RB Leipzig
19%Draw
55%Manchester City
BetPlanners model
3RB Leipzig points (61st)
6Manchester City points (27th)
3-8RB Leipzig goals for and against
9-5Manchester City goals for and against

How they arrive

Last five games (most recent first)
RB LeipzigRB Leipzig
W2-0Schalke
W2-1RW Essen
W4-0Elversberg
L1-4Real Madrid
L1-6Bayern Múnich
Manchester CityManchester City
L0-1Brighton
D2-2Brighton
L1-2Aston Villa
W5-1AEK (Gre)
W3-2Ipswich

RB Leipzig have won 3 of their last five; Manchester City, 2.

Head to head

Record since 2015 and latest meetings
1 RB Leipzig1 Draws4 Manchester City
Since 2015-16, all competitions · 5.0 goals per game
Nov 28, 2023Manchester City3-2RB LeipzigChampions League
Oct 4, 2023RB Leipzig1-3Manchester CityChampions League
Mar 14, 2023Manchester City7-0RB LeipzigChampions League
Feb 22, 2023RB Leipzig1-1Manchester CityChampions League
Dec 7, 2021RB Leipzig2-1Manchester CityChampions League
Sep 15, 2021Manchester City6-3RB LeipzigChampions League

Since 2015: RB Leipzig 1 wins, Manchester City 4, 1 draws. Manchester City are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings.

Probable line-ups

Probable XImost frequent starters · 2023+
Form
ⓘIn league: form vs peers in the same league. Cross-league: adjusted for league strength so players from different leagues can be compared. The two scales are not comparable to each other.
Manchester City4-2-3-1 · 80%Avg 1619 · 11/11
1
Donnarumma
1548↓2
3
Dias
1433↓3
45
Khusanov
1614↑1
24
Gvardiol
1461↓3
6
Guehi
1562↑5
5
Anderson
1800↓1
17
Fernández E.
1860↓1
47
Foden
1604
10
Cherki
1611
11
Doku
1606↑1
9
Haaland
1715↑3
26
Vandevoordt
1737↓4
4
Orban
1648↑7
22
Raum D.
1371↑4
23
Lukeba
1534↑10
39
Henrichs
1323↑1
7
Nusa
1686↓3
21
El Aynaoui
1522↓3
6
Banzuzi
1505↑2
20
Reitz
1472
10
Gruda
1566↓1
27
Gomis
1785↑1
RB Leipzig4-5-1 · 60%Avg 1559 · 11/11
Lines reflect formation rows; order within a line is not positional.
Player form vs peers, 2025+ ⓘRecent-form rating vs peers in the same league and position band, 2025+ data. Not an Elo. Dash = no 2025+ data. Up/down arrows = change vs yesterday (In-league scope). · - no data · ↑↓ vs yesterday

Built from each side's last five starting line-ups; it usually gets about seven of the eleven names right. The confirmed XIs reach the match page in the last hour before kick-off.

Goals, corners and cards

FigureProbability of each market, %
Over 2.5 goals61%
Over 3.5 cards56%
Both teams score54%
Over 9.5 corners46%
Over 3.5 goals41%
BetPlanners model

Most likely scores: 0-2 (9.8%), 1-1 (7.5%), 1-2 (7.2%). Manchester City score first 55% of the time.

If you are going to bet

Fair odds according to the model
Manchester City win1.82prob. · 55%
Over 2.5 goals1.64prob. · 61%
Both teams score1.85prob. · 54%

Fair odds = 100 / probability. If your bookmaker pays more, the price beats the model.

Bet only what you can afford to lose · 18+

The takeaway

Model favourite: Manchester City (55%). Over 2.5 goals: 61%.

Illustrative analysis from the BetPlanners model. Real odds, not tips: not a betting recommendation. 18+ · play responsibly.
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RB Leipzig vs Manchester City: preview, probable line-ups and prediction | BetPlanners