Premier LeagueStamford Bridge
ChelseaSat 31 Oct12:30 UTC
Manchester UtdChelsea vs Manchester Utd: Preview, probable line-ups and prediction
Chelsea are favourites for the model (47%), but it is far from settled.
BetPlanners
Model team
Chelsea (5th, 13 pts) host Manchester Utd (16th, 7 pts) in the Premier League.
BetPlanners model
13Chelsea points (5th)
7Manchester Utd points (16th)
17-15Chelsea goals for and against
10-13Manchester Utd goals for and against
How they arrive
Last five games (most recent first)
ChelseaD1-1Liverpool
L0-2Tottenham
W2-0Everton
W5-1Bournemouth
L0-3Brentford
Manchester UtdL0-3Bournemouth
L1-4Como
D1-1Leeds Utd
L0-2Atlético de Madrid
D1-1Tottenham
Chelsea have won 2 of their last five; Manchester Utd, 0.
Head to head
Record since 2015 and latest meetings
7 Chelsea10 Draws10 Manchester Utd
Since 2015-16, all competitions · 2.3 goals per game
| Apr 18, 2026 | Chelsea | 0-1 | Manchester Utd | Premier League |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Manchester Utd | 2-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| May 16, 2025 | Chelsea | 1-0 | Manchester Utd | Premier League |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Manchester Utd | 1-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
| Apr 4, 2024 | Chelsea | 4-3 | Manchester Utd | Premier League |
| Dec 6, 2023 | Manchester Utd | 2-1 | Chelsea | Premier League |
Since 2015: Chelsea 7 wins, Manchester Utd 10, 10 draws.
Probable line-ups
Probable XImost frequent starters · 2023+
FormⓘIn league: form vs peers in the same league. Cross-league: adjusted for league strength so players from different leagues can be compared. The two scales are not comparable to each other.
Manchester Utd4-2-3-1 · 100%Avg 1538 · 11/11
1
Lammens
1509↑35
Maguire H.
1656↓12
Dalot
1542↓115
Yoro
1446↑26
Martínez
140417
Andrey Santos
1501↑420
Baleba
1620↓218
Tielemans Y.
1542↓28
Fernandes
1508↑616
Diallo
1702↑419
Mbeumo
14931
Martinez
1638↑135
Lacroix
164134
Acheampong
15136
Colwill
1472↑27
Neto
149014
Henderson
1654↑225
Caicedo
1540↑129
Chavarría
133317
Rogers M.
1781↑110
Palmer
1667↑59
Joao Pedro
1635Chelsea3-4-2-1 · 60%Avg 1579 · 11/11
Lines reflect formation rows; order within a line is not positional.
Player form vs peers, 2025+ ⓘRecent-form rating vs peers in the same league and position band, 2025+ data. Not an Elo. Dash = no 2025+ data. Up/down arrows = change vs yesterday (In-league scope). · - no data · ↑↓ vs yesterday
Built from each side's last five starting line-ups; it usually gets about seven of the eleven names right. The confirmed XIs reach the match page in the last hour before kick-off.
Goals, corners and cards
FigureProbability of each market, %
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11.9%), 1-0 (9.8%), 2-1 (9.5%). Chelsea score first 52% of the time.
If you are going to bet
Fair odds according to the model
Chelsea win2.13prob. · 47%
Draw3.57prob. · 28%
Over 2.5 goals1.85prob. · 54%
Fair odds = 100 / probability. If your bookmaker pays more, the price beats the model.
Bet only what you can afford to lose · 18+
The takeaway
Model favourite: Chelsea (47%). Over 2.5 goals: 54%.
Illustrative analysis from the BetPlanners model. Real odds, not tips: not a betting recommendation. 18+ · play responsibly.