Brasileirao Serie AMineirão
CruzeiroFri 6 Nov00:30 UTC
BahiaCruzeiro vs Bahia: Preview, probable line-ups and prediction
Cruzeiro start as clear favourites for the model (59%).
BetPlanners
Model team
Cruzeiro (3rd, 57 pts) host Bahia (6th, 53 pts) in the Brasileirao Serie A.
BetPlanners model
57Cruzeiro points (3rd)
53Bahia points (6th)
52-46Cruzeiro goals for and against
48-42Bahia goals for and against
How they arrive
Last five games (most recent first)
CruzeiroW1-0Atlético-MG
W1-0Remo
W4-2Grêmio
L2-4Bragantino
W2-0São Paulo
BahiaW3-2São Paulo
D1-1Santos
L0-3Flamengo
W1-0Mirassol
L0-1Palmeiras
Cruzeiro have won 4 of their last five; Bahia, 2.
Head to head
Record since 2015 and latest meetings
6 Cruzeiro6 Draws3 Bahia
Since 2015-16, all competitions · 2.1 goals per game
| May 10, 2026 | Bahia | 1-2 | Cruzeiro | Brasileirao Serie A |
| Sep 15, 2025 | Bahia | 1-2 | Cruzeiro | Brasileirao Serie A |
| Apr 18, 2025 | Cruzeiro | 3-0 | Bahia | Brasileirao Serie A |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Cruzeiro | 1-1 | Bahia | Brasileirao Serie A |
| Jun 23, 2024 | Bahia | 4-1 | Cruzeiro | Brasileirao Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Cruzeiro | 3-0 | Bahia | Brasileirao Serie A |
Since 2015: Cruzeiro 6 wins, Bahia 3, 6 draws. Cruzeiro are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings.
Probable line-ups
Probable XImost frequent starters · 2023+
FormⓘIn league: form vs peers in the same league. Cross-league: adjusted for league strength so players from different leagues can be compared. The two scales are not comparable to each other.
Bahia4-3-3 · 60%Avg 1547 · 11/11
1
Ronaldo Strada
1692↑746
Luciano Juba
1436↑133
David Duarte
1659↑144
Marcos Victor
1609↑13
Moreno
1607↓211
Rodrigo
1495↓16
Jean Lucas
1384↓15
Nicolas Acevedo
1589↑116
Erick Pulga
1553↑399
Olivera
1466↑39
Véliz A.
1526↑181
Otavio Costa
1604↑734
Jonathan Jesus
1640↑212
William Furtado
1440↑243
Joao Marcelo
1606↑125
Villalba
154529
Romero
1622↑15
Ze Lucas
160610
Matheus Pereira
1643↑28
Gerson
1670↑299
Arroyo K.
1530↑219
Kaio Jorge
1673↑3Cruzeiro4-2-3-1 · 100%Avg 1598 · 11/11
Lines reflect formation rows; order within a line is not positional.
Player form vs peers, 2025+ ⓘRecent-form rating vs peers in the same league and position band, 2025+ data. Not an Elo. Dash = no 2025+ data. Up/down arrows = change vs yesterday (In-league scope). · - no data · ↑↓ vs yesterday
Built from each side's last five starting line-ups; it usually gets about seven of the eleven names right. The confirmed XIs reach the match page in the last hour before kick-off.
Goals, corners and cards
FigureProbability of each market, %
Most likely scores: 2-1 (12.3%), 1-1 (11.8%), 1-0 (11.1%). Cruzeiro score first 64% of the time.
If you are going to bet
Fair odds according to the model
Cruzeiro win1.69prob. · 59%
Over 2.5 goals1.92prob. · 52%
Both teams score1.89prob. · 53%
Fair odds = 100 / probability. If your bookmaker pays more, the price beats the model.
Bet only what you can afford to lose · 18+
The takeaway
Model favourite: Cruzeiro (59%). Over 2.5 goals: 52%.
Illustrative analysis from the BetPlanners model. Real odds, not tips: not a betting recommendation. 18+ · play responsibly.