Liga ProfesionalEstadio Alberto J. Armando
Boca Jrs.Sun 1 Nov18:00 UTC
River PlateBoca Jrs. vs River Plate: Preview, probable line-ups and prediction
Boca Jrs. are favourites for the model (49%), but it is far from settled.
BetPlanners
Model team
Boca Jrs. (4th, 58 pts) host River Plate (3rd, 59 pts) in the Liga Profesional.
BetPlanners model
58Boca Jrs. points (4th)
59River Plate points (3rd)
45-24Boca Jrs. goals for and against
47-29River Plate goals for and against
How they arrive
Last five games (most recent first)
Boca Jrs.W1-0Independiente (Arg)
W3-1Vasco
W2-1Talleres (Arg)
L0-1Vasco
D2-2Instituto
River PlateW1-0Racing Club (Arg)
W3-0Belgrano
D1-1Sarmiento
W1-0Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
L1-2Huracán (Arg)
Boca Jrs. have won 3 of their last five; River Plate, 3.
Head to head
Record since 2015 and latest meetings
8 Boca Jrs.4 Draws8 River Plate
Since 2015-16, all competitions · 2.0 goals per game
| Apr 19, 2026 | River Plate | 0-1 | Boca Jrs. | Liga Profesional |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Boca Jrs. | 2-0 | River Plate | Liga Profesional |
| Apr 27, 2025 | River Plate | 2-1 | Boca Jrs. | Liga Profesional |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Boca Jrs. | 0-1 | River Plate | Liga Profesional |
| May 7, 2023 | River Plate | 1-0 | Boca Jrs. | Liga Profesional |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Boca Jrs. | 1-0 | River Plate | Liga Profesional |
Since 2015: Boca Jrs. 8 wins, River Plate 8, 4 draws.
Probable line-ups
Probable XImost frequent starters · 2023+
FormⓘIn league: form vs peers in the same league. Cross-league: adjusted for league strength so players from different leagues can be compared. The two scales are not comparable to each other.
River Plate4-1-3-2 · 40%Avg 1590 · 11/11
41
Beltrán
1519↑330
Otamendi
1753↑729
Montiel
150028
Martinez Quarta
1705↑121
Acuña M.
150415
Fausto Vera
162826
Galvan
160350
Andrada
136423
Almada
1493↓610
Correa
18559
Driussi S.
15691
Montero
1472↑32
Di Lollo
15963
Blanco
144817
Lozano
134142
Herrera
-18
Delgado
17116
Battaglia
137519
Flores
173225
Ascacibar
137522
Villa Cano
172316
Miguel Merentiel
1697Boca Jrs.4-2-3-1 · 80%Avg 1547 · 10/11
Lines reflect formation rows; order within a line is not positional.
Player form vs peers, 2025+ ⓘRecent-form rating vs peers in the same league and position band, 2025+ data. Not an Elo. Dash = no 2025+ data. Up/down arrows = change vs yesterday (In-league scope). · - no data · ↑↓ vs yesterday
Built from each side's last five starting line-ups; it usually gets about seven of the eleven names right. The confirmed XIs reach the match page in the last hour before kick-off.
Goals, corners and cards
FigureProbability of each market, %
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14.1%), 1-0 (13.3%), 0-0 (10.8%). Boca Jrs. score first 56% of the time.
If you are going to bet
Fair odds according to the model
Boca Jrs. win2.04prob. · 49%
Draw3.33prob. · 30%
Over 2.5 goals2.33prob. · 43%
Fair odds = 100 / probability. If your bookmaker pays more, the price beats the model.
Bet only what you can afford to lose · 18+
The takeaway
Model favourite: Boca Jrs. (49%). Over 2.5 goals: 43%.
Illustrative analysis from the BetPlanners model. Real odds, not tips: not a betting recommendation. 18+ · play responsibly.