LiverpoolSun 1 Nov16:30 UTC
ArsenalLiverpool vs Arsenal: Preview, probable line-ups and prediction
An even game: no result goes above 40% for the model.
Liverpool (4th, 15 pts) host Arsenal (2nd, 21 pts) in the Premier League.
BetPlanners model
15Liverpool points (4th)
21Arsenal points (2nd)
11-8Liverpool goals for and against
13-5Arsenal goals for and against
How they arrive
Last five games (most recent first)
D1-1Chelsea
W2-0Brighton
W4-3Villarreal
W2-1Brentford
W6-3LASK (Aut)
D1-1Fleetwood
W2-0Everton
D2-2Bayern Múnich
W1-0Nottingham Forest
W3-0Lille
Liverpool have won 4 of their last five; Arsenal, 3.
Head to head
Record since 2015 and latest meetings
12 Liverpool11 Draws4 Arsenal
Since 2015-16, all competitions · 3.5 goals per game
| Jan 8, 2026 | Arsenal | 0-0 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Liverpool | 1-0 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| May 11, 2025 | Liverpool | 2-2 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Arsenal | 2-2 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Arsenal | 3-1 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Arsenal | 0-2 | Liverpool | FA Cup |
Since 2015: Liverpool 12 wins, Arsenal 4, 11 draws. Liverpool are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings.
Probable line-ups
Probable XImost frequent starters · 2023+
FormⓘIn league: form vs peers in the same league. Cross-league: adjusted for league strength so players from different leagues can be compared. The two scales are not comparable to each other.
Arsenal4-2-3-1 · 80%Avg 1595 · 11/11
1
Raya
1740↑136
Gabriel
1516↑415
Konsa
1437↑112
Timber
1513↑149
Lewis-Skelly
143641
Rice
1714↑139
Bruno Guimaraes
1671↑28
Odegaard
1823↑429
Havertz
1493↑210
Eze
1551↑614
Gyökeres
16511
Alisson
1398↓1733
Araujo
1741↓14
van Dijk
16845
Jacquet
159721
Tsimikas
1495↑238
Gravenberch
140310
Mac Allister
1615↑329
Barcola
179873
Ngumoha
1477↑118
Gakpo
1625↑267
Koumas
1655Liverpool4-2-3-1 · 100%Avg 1590 · 11/11
Lines reflect formation rows; order within a line is not positional.
Player form vs peers, 2025+ ⓘRecent-form rating vs peers in the same league and position band, 2025+ data. Not an Elo. Dash = no 2025+ data. Up/down arrows = change vs yesterday (In-league scope). · - no data · ↑↓ vs yesterday
Built from each side's last five starting line-ups; it usually gets about seven of the eleven names right. The confirmed XIs reach the match page in the last hour before kick-off.
Goals, corners and cards
FigureProbability of each market, %
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10.9%), 1-2 (10.2%), 2-1 (8.6%). Liverpool score first 47% of the time.
If you are going to bet
Fair odds according to the model
Arsenal win2.50prob. · 40%
Draw3.57prob. · 28%
Over 2.5 goals1.72prob. · 58%
Fair odds = 100 / probability. If your bookmaker pays more, the price beats the model.
Bet only what you can afford to lose · 18+
The takeaway
No clear favourite (top result 40%). Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
Illustrative analysis from the BetPlanners model. Real odds, not tips: not a betting recommendation. 18+ · play responsibly.
Premier League