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LiverpoolLiverpool
Sun 1 Nov16:30 UTC
ArsenalArsenal

Liverpool vs Arsenal: Preview, probable line-ups and prediction

An even game: no result goes above 40% for the model.

Liverpool (4th, 15 pts) host Arsenal (2nd, 21 pts) in the Premier League.

Who wins, according to the model (90 minutes)
32%Liverpool
28%Draw
40%Arsenal
BetPlanners model
15Liverpool points (4th)
21Arsenal points (2nd)
11-8Liverpool goals for and against
13-5Arsenal goals for and against

How they arrive

Last five games (most recent first)
LiverpoolLiverpool
D1-1Chelsea
W2-0Brighton
W4-3Villarreal
W2-1Brentford
W6-3LASK (Aut)
ArsenalArsenal
D1-1Fleetwood
W2-0Everton
D2-2Bayern Múnich
W1-0Nottingham Forest
W3-0Lille

Liverpool have won 4 of their last five; Arsenal, 3.

Head to head

Record since 2015 and latest meetings
12 Liverpool11 Draws4 Arsenal
Since 2015-16, all competitions · 3.5 goals per game
Jan 8, 2026Arsenal0-0LiverpoolPremier League
Aug 31, 2025Liverpool1-0ArsenalPremier League
May 11, 2025Liverpool2-2ArsenalPremier League
Oct 27, 2024Arsenal2-2LiverpoolPremier League
Feb 4, 2024Arsenal3-1LiverpoolPremier League
Jan 7, 2024Arsenal0-2LiverpoolFA Cup

Since 2015: Liverpool 12 wins, Arsenal 4, 11 draws. Liverpool are unbeaten in the last 4 meetings.

Probable line-ups

Probable XImost frequent starters · 2023+
Form
ⓘIn league: form vs peers in the same league. Cross-league: adjusted for league strength so players from different leagues can be compared. The two scales are not comparable to each other.
Arsenal4-2-3-1 · 80%Avg 1595 · 11/11
1
Raya
1740↑13
6
Gabriel
1516↑4
15
Konsa
1437↑1
12
Timber
1513↑1
49
Lewis-Skelly
1436
41
Rice
1714↑1
39
Bruno Guimaraes
1671↑2
8
Odegaard
1823↑4
29
Havertz
1493↑2
10
Eze
1551↑6
14
Gyökeres
1651
1
Alisson
1398↓17
33
Araujo
1741↓1
4
van Dijk
1684
5
Jacquet
1597
21
Tsimikas
1495↑2
38
Gravenberch
1403
10
Mac Allister
1615↑3
29
Barcola
1798
73
Ngumoha
1477↑1
18
Gakpo
1625↑2
67
Koumas
1655
Liverpool4-2-3-1 · 100%Avg 1590 · 11/11
Lines reflect formation rows; order within a line is not positional.
Player form vs peers, 2025+ ⓘRecent-form rating vs peers in the same league and position band, 2025+ data. Not an Elo. Dash = no 2025+ data. Up/down arrows = change vs yesterday (In-league scope). · - no data · ↑↓ vs yesterday

Built from each side's last five starting line-ups; it usually gets about seven of the eleven names right. The confirmed XIs reach the match page in the last hour before kick-off.

Goals, corners and cards

FigureProbability of each market, %
Over 3.5 cards63%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Both teams score58%
Over 9.5 corners48%
Over 3.5 goals31%
BetPlanners model

Most likely scores: 1-1 (10.9%), 1-2 (10.2%), 2-1 (8.6%). Liverpool score first 47% of the time.

If you are going to bet

Fair odds according to the model
Arsenal win2.50prob. · 40%
Draw3.57prob. · 28%
Over 2.5 goals1.72prob. · 58%

Fair odds = 100 / probability. If your bookmaker pays more, the price beats the model.

The takeaway

No clear favourite (top result 40%). Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Illustrative analysis from the BetPlanners model. Real odds, not tips: not a betting recommendation. 18+ · play responsibly.
Liverpool vs Arsenal: preview, probable line-ups and prediction | BetPlanners